New Fed Regime, Same Hawkish Theme

2026-06-21 09:00:00 ET

Real Estate Weekly Outlook

U.S. equity markets finished the week higher, as easing oil-price pressure following a tentative U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding helped offset a hawkish Fed meeting, even as late-week developments raised questions over the durability of the deal. The signed agreement cleared the path toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz - resulting in a rapid surge of oil shipments through the critical chokepoint - but late-week clashes between Israel and Iranian proxies again raised questions over the fragility of the truce. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve left rates unchanged, as expected, but its updated "dot plot" projections and Chair Kevin Warsh’s first press conference were interpreted as hawkish, with nine of the 18 FOMC participants now leaning towards at least one rate hike for 2026 - a dramatic shift compared to the prior March projections that had still pointed to rate cuts....

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