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Rates Spark: Whimsical Data Clouds The Fed's Path

Source: SeekingAlpha

2025-09-26 05:25:00 ET

By Benjamin Schroeder

US rates are also setting the tone in euro rates

US rates are in the driving seat as investors try to gauge the Fed's outlook. A set of positive data surprises – an upwardly revised final second-quarter GDP reading as well as benign jobless claims figures – nudged rates higher from the front end. The 2y Treasury rose above 3.65%, the highest since late August, while the 10y US Treasury yield is approaching 4.2% again. With the market already anticipating a benign PCE inflation reading, confirmation should not alter the outlook. The risk is rather for rates to move another notch higher should price dynamics remain hotter....

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Rates Spark: Whimsical Data Clouds The Fed's Path
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