Business Conditions Monthly November 2024

2025-01-23 01:00:00 ET

Summary

• In November 2024, all three AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators signaled a parallel shift in economic conditions.
• Of the twelve components of the Leading Indicator, seven increased, three declined, and two were unchanged in November.
• Small-business sentiment surged at the end of 2024, with the National Federation of Independent Business Optimism Index climbing to a six-year high of 105.1.

By Peter C. Earle

In November 2024, all three AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators signaled a parallel shift in economic conditions. The Leading Indicator rose sharply to 79 from 58 in October, moving decisively into expansionary territory. The Roughly Coincident Indicator also increased, climbing to 75 from 58, indicating growing strength in current economic activity. Meanwhile, the Lagging Indicator rebounded from contractionary territory, rising to 50 from 25 in October, though still suggesting lingering challenges in slower-moving sectors of the economy....

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