Fed Rate Cuts Are Probably On Pause For The Near Term
2025-01-14 07:30:00 ET
Summary
- TMC Research’s Fed funds model indicates that the current 4.25-4.50% range for the target rate is moderately tight, which suggests there’s room to ease.
- But there’s uncertainty about expected policy changes favored by the incoming Trump administration - changes that may be inflationary to a degree, according to some forecasters.
- We anticipate that the central bank will leave rates unchanged at the January 29 FOMC meeting.
By James Picerno
The Federal Reserve’s ¼-point rate cut in December looks set to be the last round of easing for the foreseeable future....
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