The Fed's Problem And The Interest Rate Forecast
Source: SeekingAlpha
2025-06-01 09:45:00 ET
Summary
- In 2025, the Fed is coping with tremendous changes in policy, plus swings back and forth on tariffs. The latest Fed meeting minutes shed some light on the difficult decision. They lead me to anticipate no interest rate changes this year.
- Inflation can be stubborn to drop, which is why current measures remain above the Fed's two percent target.
- Deconstructing a price change into the tariff effects and other economic drivers won't be easy. Thus, monetary policy will be more prone to error despite the best efforts of the Fed policymakers.
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The Fed's Problem And The Interest Rate Forecast
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