Treasury Yields Edge Lower Despite Threat Of Trade War
2025-02-05 10:36:00 ET
Summary
- The serene profile for Treasury yields is surprising, given the firehose of news updates on topics that, in theory, are relevant to market expectations, inflation, and economic growth.
- One of the concerns is that tariffs will raise prices, thereby stoking inflation.
- Perhaps the reasoning for the slide in Treasury yields of late is that a trade war also implies slower growth, or worse. In that case, one might argue that demand for safe-haven Treasuries has overwhelmed concerns about higher inflation.
President Trump’s comments and executive orders have roiled markets and investor expectations, but from the vantage of the Treasury market, a relative calm prevails. This could change, of course, but for now, key yields for government bonds are flat to slightly lower in recent days....
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