U.S. GDP Contracts As Recession Odds Tick Up With Fed On Hold
Source: SeekingAlpha
2025-05-06 08:10:00 ET
Summary
- Real economic growth in the United States contracted 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025.
- Although that's an initial estimate, that's a remarkable development because it comes in the middle of a period in which the recession forecasting model we've tracked every six weeks since October 2022 signaled the probability of such an event would be exceptionally high.
- The recession probability has increased to nearly 26%, where it had previously bottomed at 20%.
Real economic growth in the United States contracted 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025....
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U.S. GDP Contracts As Recession Odds Tick Up With Fed On Hold
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