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Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet

Source: SeekingAlpha

2025-04-14 09:10:00 ET

Summary

  • The recent market disruption caused by Trump’s trade war has undoubtedly widened spreads between “risk-free” treasury yields and corporate bonds.
  • The illiquidity issue is currently the most significant risk to the markets, as the sharp spike in yields this past week is warning of a more significant event brewing in the bond market.
  • Given the technical damage to the market, we suspect we will see a pullback before this correction process is over.

In November last year, I discussed the importance of yield spreads, historically the market’s “early warning system.” To wit: “...

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Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet
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