Rates Spark: More Repricing Risk At Front End
2026-06-25 03:25:00 ET
The front end looks particularly vulnerable to repricing lower
A further drop in oil prices is paring inflation risks and is making bonds look more attractive to investors amid fragile risk sentiment. Brent is now trading close to pre-war levels. Markets are nevertheless still positioned for 30bp of ECB tightening, but we think this hawkish pricing can easily be challenged if market sentiment turns more pessimistic. The risk of oil prices surging above $100 seems to be diminishing by the day, and therefore, the tail risk of the ECB being forced to hike by more than 25bp should fall....
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Rates Spark: More Repricing Risk At Front EndNASDAQ: SPEU
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