Opportunities Following The End Of The Worst Seasonal Trade For Home Builders
2025-07-10 23:11:23 ET
The S&P 500 ( SPY ) recently hit all-time highs. Meanwhile, the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF ( ITB ) remains mired in a bear market. This massive gulf in performance puts an exclamation mark at the end of the worst seasonal trade for home builders since ITB began trading. As a reminder, the seasonal trade on home builders takes advantage of a general pattern for the stocks of home builders to outperform the S&P 500 from October or November through March or May; this trade relies on the typical bullish sentiment that accompanies the anticipation of the spring selling season. To provide fixed references for measurement, I start the home builder “trading season” on the first trading day of November and conclude it on the last trading day of October. For the 2024/2025 trading season, ITB has so far had one of its worst performances on record....
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Opportunities Following The End Of The Worst Seasonal Trade For Home Builders
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