China's Continued Deflationary Pressure Supports Case For Monetary Easing
2025-10-15 03:45:00 ET
By Lynn Song
Deflationary pressures persisted in September
CPI inflation edged up but remained in deflation
China's CPI inflation edged up in September, but the economy remained in deflation. The main reason is a continued slide in food prices down to -4.4% YoY, a 20-month low. This is, in part, base effect-driven, as MoM prices actually picked up 0.7%. The primary culprit has been pork (-17%), which is currently in a downward trend and likely to continue dragging food inflation for several more months. On a YoY basis, we continued to see notable drags from vegetable (-13.7%), egg (-11.9%), and fruit (-4.2%) prices despite MoM gains for each of these categories. The drag from these categories may persist in October but should ease from November onward, helping to support a turnaround of food inflation....
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