China Seeks Wiggle Room For Growth In Year Of The Snake
Source: SeekingAlpha
2025-01-29 03:52:00 ET
Summary
- China’s growth outlook for 2025 (Year of the Snake in Chinese astrology) is overshadowed by slowing global activity, domestic headwinds and a new wave of tariffs on the country’s exports to the US.
- Despite continuing problems in its real estate sector, China met its 5% growth target for 2024.
- We believe US tariffs will be negative for China’s export growth, but their impact is likely to be less severe than during the first Trump administration when, in 2018–2019, they cost China 1.5% of GDP.
- China’s current challenges have resulted in policymakers taking unusual and more coordinated actions.
By Eric Liu
China's efforts to steer between domestic and international growth challenges in 2025 could be good for bond investors. ...
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China Seeks Wiggle Room For Growth In Year Of The Snake
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