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U.S. Economy Is Slowing, But Recession Risk Remains Low

Source: SeekingAlpha

2025-03-25 12:20:00 ET

Summary

  • New data published on Monday reaffirm that US economic is still growing and the odds remain low that a recession has started or is imminent.
  • It will take several weeks at a minimum before a clear picture via hard data begins to emerge on this month’s profile, but PMI survey data published yesterday suggest that the broad trend remains resilient.
  • Economists are an increasingly gloomy lot and have raised their estimated risk of recession to the highest level in six months, according to a CNBC survey.

New data published on Monday reaffirm that US economic is still growing, and the odds remain low that a recession has started or is imminent. The rapidly changing state of tariffs could change the outlook, but for the moment economic activity looks relatively resilient....

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U.S. Economy Is Slowing, But Recession Risk Remains Low
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